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  4. 市场人士对中国二季度经济数据保持乐观 Promising signals of China’s economic health

市场人士对中国二季度经济数据保持乐观 Promising signals of China’s economic health

2014/7/16 612 Mabel
China’s second-quarter GDP report is due for release on Wednesday. 中国二季度国内生产总值(GDP)报告定于周三出炉。

        

        China’s second-quarter GDP report is due for release on Wednesday.

        中国二季度国内生产总值(GDP)报告定于周三出炉。

        Has Beijing been successful in meeting its annual growth target of more than 7 per cent?

        北京方面是否成功达到了7%以上的年度增长目标?

        Most expect so. And given quite a few investors see equity markets as “priced for perfection” a disappointing GDP print could cause some severe global ructions.

        大多数人认为答案应该是肯定的。此外,考虑到股市在不少投资者看来“是按照最好情况定价的”,如果中国GDP数字令人失望,将在全球市场引发严重动荡。

        Still, the Shanghai stock market started the week in good fettle, closing Monday at a near one-month high.

        不过,沪市本周开局情况不错,周一收于近一个月以来最高点。

        And arguably better guides of China’s economic health have also been delivering promising signals of late.

        此外,可以说更好反映中国经济健康情况的几项指标最近传递出令人欣喜的信号。

        Iron ore prices have risen four weeks in a row, up about 9 per cent since dropping to a near two-year low of $89 a tonne, according to Reuters.

        路透(Reuters)数据显示,铁矿石价格已连续4周上涨,自跌至每吨89美元的近两年低点之后已上涨约9%。

        Steel rebar futures, which last month fell to record contract lows, have climbed to the highest level in more than six weeks.

        上月合同价格跌至历史新低的螺纹钢期货,也已涨至逾6周以来的最高水平。

        Some of these price gains are based on reduced fears of oversupply but they are also the result, particularly with regard to rebar, of government moves to boost infrastructure spending, notably in railway construction.

        上述商品价格上涨的部分原因在于市场对供应过剩的担忧减轻,但还有部分原因在于政府采取行动提振基建支出,尤其是在铁路建设领域。螺纹钢期货的价格上涨尤其与后一个原因有关。

        Chartists may also like to note that the Hang Seng index – which moves mainly under the gravitational pull of the mainland and Wall Street – is at the top of a “bullish” long-term triangle.

        图表专家或许还乐于指出,主要受到中国内地和美国华尔街影响的香港恒生指数(Hang Seng index),眼下也处于长期“牛市”三角形的顶点。

        Rolling global overview at: www.ft.com/markets

        全球市场实时纵览请移步:www.ft.com/markets


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